Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 55.058877 62.853310 70.901028 79.797360 89.323463 99.187368 110.142500
2025-04-27 44.141457 55.307661 67.431728 81.434371 97.028556 113.741236 132.888652
2025-05-04 36.473441 49.259898 63.698594 80.921279 100.636803 122.260823 147.538458
2025-05-11 30.478787 44.224757 60.323134 80.082841 103.240256 129.129542 159.886877
2025-05-18 26.458096 40.994874 58.581271 80.701710 107.134269 137.143428 173.252835
2025-05-25 22.633853 37.548963 56.197218 80.219566 109.457871 143.128739 184.116401
2025-06-01 19.759527 35.001862 54.655408 80.522949 112.519214 149.819730 195.672436
2025-06-08 16.803482 32.011693 52.284849 79.572129 113.881631 154.368774 204.618615
2025-06-15 15.079207 30.560837 51.775788 80.847502 117.871755 161.973270 217.108988
2025-06-22 13.608450 29.316924 51.422834 82.227935 121.922923 169.607131 229.611081
2025-06-29 11.635370 27.083027 49.547123 81.485031 123.208518 173.820083 237.981675
2025-07-06 9.552736 24.408980 46.856190 79.496347 122.783492 175.845898 243.647617
2025-07-13 9.032501 24.308454 47.872863 82.544139 128.881941 185.987291 259.245101
2025-07-20 8.245575 23.653700 48.022182 84.377255 133.402862 194.191088 272.527053
2025-07-27 6.985471 21.971878 46.515624 83.828105 134.749538 198.398945 280.908106
2025-08-03 5.817074 20.276353 44.862545 82.975773 135.624137 201.964463 288.466929
2025-08-10 5.077867 19.318384 44.290928 83.607174 138.432293 207.944990 298.989797
2025-08-17 4.225957 17.967329 42.990709 83.114897 139.682966 211.917532 307.009831
2025-08-24 3.606966 17.015841 42.274735 83.424703 141.982522 217.206939 316.656884
2025-08-31 2.882812 15.641896 40.745285 82.453677 142.482369 220.152723 323.357589
2025-09-07 2.543287 15.176810 40.745953 83.756133 146.093203 227.105774 335.083277
2025-09-14 2.250807 14.776099 40.828871 85.165684 149.845456 234.244683 347.054630
2025-09-21 1.762103 13.654692 39.535360 84.407134 150.542164 237.388915 353.980444